Before the Storm Preparing in advance for hurricane season can determine not only how safely and comfortably you ride out the storm, but also how easily it is to handle the days and weeks after the storm has passed. Take a look at the information collected below to learn how you can prepare in the days and weeks before a hurricane. Plan your stay or evacuation: Stay Home: However, before you choose this option, make sure you know your elevation. If we experience a storm that may put a significant storm surge in your home, you need to look at the other options. Also, people in manufactured and mobile homes cannot use this option. Mobile homes and manufactured homes are not built to withstand the high winds associated with tropical storms and hurricanes. Stay With a Friend or Relative Who has a Safe Place: If this is your plan, make arrangements in advance. You need to make sure that where you are going is safe. It defeats the purpose of evacuating if you go to an unsafe place. Relocate Out of the Area: You may wish to travel out of harm’s way. Be sure to bring a road map and make sure that your car is full of fuel. Stay away from major bodies of water. Make arrangements in advance if you can. If you decide to use this option, go early, traffic will be heavy if you leave at the last minute, and you may not make it to your destination. Emergency Public Shelters: For more information on Emergency Shelters and a list of available Public Shelters please visit a county Public Library or Publix Super Market near you. Have a 72-Hour Survival Kit You should plan to be self-sufficient for at least 72 hours (3 days) during and after a disaster. You should anticipate no water, electrical power, or utilities for that period of time. To ensure the comfort of your family, whether at home or evacuated to another location please download and print the Hurricane Survival Kit (PDF).
000 ABNT20 KNHC 152359 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook..Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021 Corrected genesis probabilities and category for the Gulf low For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bill, located a few hundred miles southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low pressure area. This system is expected to move little during the next day or so, and any development should be slow to occur during that time period. However, the disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form late in the week when the low moves across the central or northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Showers and thunderstorms continued to diminish in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Development of this system is no longer anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 20:36:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 21:22:32 GMT
Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Jun 15 2021
000 WTNT42 KNHC 152035 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Bill Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022021 500 PM AST Tue Jun 15 2021 Bill is well on its way to becoming an extratropical cyclone. The convective pattern has become quite asymmetric with the center exposed to the southwest of the weakening thunderstorms. The center itself has become stretched, and in fact, surrounding observations suggest that the surface center may no longer be closed. In addition, a warm front appears to be forming on the storm's southeast side. Based on these trends, it seems very likely that Bill won't be around for long as a tropical storm. The initial intensity is held at 50 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data, but that could be a little generous. The initial motion remains a very fast 055/31 kt. A continued fast east-northeast to northeast motion in the mid-latitude jet stream is expected until the cyclone dissipates within the next 12-24 hours near Atlantic Canada. Some weakening seems likely prior to dissipation due to the cyclone moving over much colder SSTs while remaining in a strong wind shear environment. Due to the system's fast forward speed, the strong winds will remain confined to the south and east sides of the cyclone. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/2100Z 41.6N 59.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 16/0600Z 44.7N 55.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021
000 FONT12 KNHC 152033 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022021 2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
...BILL ALMOST AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE... As of 5:00 PM AST Tue Jun 15 the center of Bill was located near 41.6, -59.6 with movement NE at 36 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
000 WTNT32 KNHC 152033 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bill Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022021 500 PM AST Tue Jun 15 2021 ...BILL ALMOST AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.6N 59.6W ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 540 MI...865 KM E OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bill was located near latitude 41.6 North, longitude 59.6 West. Bill is moving toward the northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue until the cyclone dissipates on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected, and Bill is forecast to become a post-tropical low by this evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
000 WTNT22 KNHC 152032 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022021 2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N 59.6W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 31 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 180SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N 59.6W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 60.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 44.7N 55.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.6N 59.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI