Emergency Preparedness

TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE PREPARATION

Hurricane season begins June 1st of each year and ends November 30th. Florida can be threatened any time during this season.  This information will help you prepare for a hurricane. Please take the time to read this information carefully.

The following are some useful definitions:

• TROPICAL DEPRESSION has winds of less than 39 miles per hour or 34 knots.
• TROPICAL STORM has winds from 39 to 73 miles per hour or 34 to 63 knots.
• TROPICAL STORM “WARNING” once issued, can develop into a hurricane. 
• HURRICANE “WATCH” - a hurricane may threaten the area within 24-36 hours.
• HURRICANE “WARNING” - a hurricane is expected to strike the area within 24 hours or less.
• HURRICANE has winds of greater than 74 miles per hour or 64 knots.
            Category 1 74-95 MPH Minimal
            Category 2 95-110 MPH Moderate
            Category 3 111-130 Major
            Category 4 131-155 Extensive
            Category 5 156 MPH + Catastrophic

WHAT CAN YOU DO TO BE READY IN THE EVENT OF A DISASTER?

Before the Storm
Preparing in advance for hurricane season can determine not only how safely and comfortably you ride out the storm, but also how easily it is to handle the days and weeks after the storm has passed.  Take a look at the information collected below to learn how you can prepare in the days and weeks before a hurricane.

Plan your stay or evacuation:
Stay Home
: However, before you choose this option, make sure you know your elevation. If we experience a storm that may put a significant storm surge in your home, you need to look at the other options. Also, people in manufactured and mobile homes cannot use this option. Mobile homes and manufactured homes are not built to withstand the high winds associated with tropical storms and hurricanes.

Stay With a Friend or Relative Who has a Safe Place: If this is your plan, make arrangements in advance. You need to make sure that where you are going is safe. It defeats the purpose of evacuating if you go to an unsafe place.

Relocate Out of the Area: You may wish to travel out of harm’s way. Be sure to bring a road map and make sure that your car is full of fuel. Stay away from major bodies of water. Make arrangements in advance if you can. If you decide to use this option, go early, traffic will be heavy if you leave at the last minute, and you may not make it to your destination.

Emergency Public Shelters: For more information on Emergency Shelters and a list of available Public Shelters please visit a county Public Library or Publix Super Market near you.

Have a 72-Hour Survival Kit
You should plan to be self-sufficient for at least 72 hours (3 days) during and after a disaster. You should anticipate no water, electrical power, or utilities for that period of time. To ensure the comfort of your family, whether at home or evacuated to another location please download and print the Hurricane Survival Kit (PDF).

NHC Status Updates

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Wed, 16 Jun 2021 00:00:03 GMT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 152359 CCA
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook..Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

Corrected genesis probabilities and category for the Gulf low

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Bill, located a few hundred miles southeast of Halifax, Nova
Scotia.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of
Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low
pressure area. This system is expected to move little during the
next day or so, and any development should be slow to occur during
that time period. However, the disturbance should begin to move
northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form
late in the week when the low moves across the central or
northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern
Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to
impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult
products from your local meteorological service for more
information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms continued to diminish in association with
a tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Development of this system is no longer anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Tropical Storm Bill Graphics

Tue, 15 Jun 2021 20:36:54 GMT

Tropical Storm Bill 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 20:36:54 GMT

Tropical Storm Bill 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 21:22:32 GMT

Tropical Storm Bill Forecast Discussion Number 6

Tue, 15 Jun 2021 20:35:31 GMT

Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Jun 15 2021


000
WTNT42 KNHC 152035
TCDAT2
 
Tropical Storm Bill Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022021
500 PM AST Tue Jun 15 2021
 
Bill is well on its way to becoming an extratropical cyclone.  The
convective pattern has become quite asymmetric with the center
exposed to the southwest of the weakening thunderstorms.  The
center itself has become stretched, and in fact, surrounding
observations suggest that the surface center may no longer
be closed.  In addition, a warm front appears to be forming on
the storm's southeast side.  Based on these trends, it seems very
likely that Bill won't be around for long as a tropical storm. The
initial intensity is held at 50 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data,
but that could be a little generous.
 
The initial motion remains a very fast 055/31 kt.  A continued fast
east-northeast to northeast motion in the mid-latitude jet stream
is expected until the cyclone dissipates within the next 12-24
hours near Atlantic Canada.  Some weakening seems likely prior to
dissipation due to the cyclone moving over much colder SSTs while
remaining in a strong wind shear environment.
 
Due to the system's fast forward speed, the strong winds will
remain confined to the south and east sides of the cyclone.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/2100Z 41.6N  59.6W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  16/0600Z 44.7N  55.9W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 

Tropical Storm Bill Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

Tue, 15 Jun 2021 20:34:00 GMT

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021


000
FONT12 KNHC 152033
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM BILL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022021               
2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
41.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               

Summary for Tropical Storm Bill (AT2/AL022021)

Tue, 15 Jun 2021 20:33:57 GMT

...BILL ALMOST AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE... As of 5:00 PM AST Tue Jun 15 the center of Bill was located near 41.6, -59.6 with movement NE at 36 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

Tropical Storm Bill Public Advisory Number 6

Tue, 15 Jun 2021 20:33:57 GMT

Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Jun 15 2021


000
WTNT32 KNHC 152033
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bill Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022021
500 PM AST Tue Jun 15 2021
 
...BILL ALMOST AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.6N 59.6W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 540 MI...865 KM E OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bill was
located near latitude 41.6 North, longitude 59.6 West. Bill is
moving toward the northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue until the cyclone dissipates on Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is expected, and Bill is forecast to become a 
post-tropical low by this evening.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 

Tropical Storm Bill Forecast Advisory Number 6

Tue, 15 Jun 2021 20:33:00 GMT

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021


000
WTNT22 KNHC 152032
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022021
2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N  59.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  31 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  90SE 180SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N  59.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.9N  60.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 44.7N  55.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.6N  59.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI